Dự báo giá hồ tiêu ngày 10/9/2024 tiếp tục đi ngang. Còn hơn 1 quý nữa là kết thúc năm, nhưng mốc xuất khẩu 1 tỷ USD ngành hàng hồ tiêu đặt ra nhiều năm nay chắc chắn sẽ đạt được ở năm 2024 này.
Lượng hạt tiêu tồn của nước ta không còn nhiều nên những tháng cuối năm nay xuất khẩu mặt hàng này sẽ thấp hơn so với mọi năm và kéo dài cho đến khoảng tháng 3/2025 khi vào vụ thu hoạch mới. Do đó, giá mặt hàng này trên toàn cầu được dự báo tiếp tục tăng và neo ở mức cao cho đến khi Việt Nam bước vào vụ thu hoạch năm sau.
Việt Nam là quốc gia xuất khẩu gia vị hàng đầu thế giới, với kim ngạch khoảng 1,5 tỷ USD mỗi năm. Gia vị của Việt Nam hiện đã được xuất khẩu đi hơn 125 quốc gia, chiếm lĩnh nhiều thị trường quan trọng. Hạt tiêu là một trong những sản phẩm có giá trị và sản lượng xuất khẩu tăng cao. Bên cạnh việc gia tăng sản phẩm chế biến, thì xúc tiến thương mại cũng đóng vai trò quan trọng để đưa gia vị Việt Nam đến với người tiêu dùng thế giới.
Tại thị trường trong nước, giá tiêu hôm nay ngày 9/9/2024, tại khu vực Đông Nam Bộ các vùng trọng điểm giao dịch quanh mốc 152.000 -153.000 đồng/kg, giá mua cao nhất tại các tỉnh Bà Rịa – Vũng Tàu, Đắk Lắk, Đắk Nông là 153.000 đồng/kg.
Theo đó, giá tiêu Đắk Lắk được thu mua ở mức 153.000 đồng/kg ổn định với ngày hôm qua. Giá tiêu Chư Sê (Gia Lai) thu mua ở mức 152.000 đồng/kg duy trì đi ngang so với ngày hôm qua. Giá tiêu Đắk Nông hôm nay ở mức 153.000 đồng/kg chững lại so với ngày hôm qua.
Tại khu vực Đông Nam Bộ, giá tiêu hôm nay duy trì đi ngang so với ngày hôm qua. Cụ thể, tại Bình Phước giá tiêu hôm nay ở mức 152.000 đồng/kg. Tại Bà Rịa – Vũng Tàu ở mức 153.000 đồng/kg.
Tại giá tiêu thế giới, cập nhật giá tiêu thế giới từ Hiệp hội Hồ tiêu Quốc tế (IPC), kết thúc phiên giao dịch gần nhất, IPC niêm yết giá tiêu đen Lampung của Indonesia duy trì ở mức đạt 7.578 USD/tấn , giá tiêu trắng Muntok ở mức 8.923USD/tấn.
Giá tiêu đen ASTA 570 của Brazil ở mức 7.500 USD/tấn. Giá tiêu đen ASTA của Malaysia lên mức 8.800 USD/tấn, tăng 3,41%; giá tiêu trắng ASTA của nước này đạt 10.900 USD/tấn.
Giá tiêu đen Việt Nam giao dịch ổn định ở mức 6.600 USD/tấn với loại 500 g/l; loại 550 g/l ở mức 7.000 USD/tấn; giá tiêu trắng ở mức 9.300 USD/tấn.
Giá tiêu đen trong nước đã tăng khoảng 8% kể từ cuối tháng 8 đến nay khi Trung Quốc quay trở lại thị trường sau một thời gian dài vắng bóng.
Ngoài ra, sản lượng tiêu của Brazil được cho là giảm mạnh hơn dự kiến ban đầu do điều kiện thời tiết bất thường. Vụ mùa của Campuchia cũng nhỏ hơn so với những năm trước. Do đó, triển vọng thị trường vẫn tốt cho đến hết năm 2024 và thậm chí đến năm 2025.
Còn tại Việt Nam, thông tin từ ông Marcellus Giovanni, giám đốc điều hành của Brazspice Spices International, cho biết qua khảo sát nhanh các vườn tiêu tại các vùng trọng điểm như Đắk Nông, Đắk Lắk, Bình Phước, Bà Rịa – Vũng Tàu và Đồng Nai, các chuỗi hạt tiêu khá nhiều nhưng không ít chuỗi hạt thưa thớt. Bên cạnh đó hạt tiêu vẫn còn rất non so với cùng kỳ năm ngoái.
Do hạn hán kéo dài vào tháng 4 và tháng 5 tại các vùng trồng tiêu trọng điểm nên vụ thu hoạch năm 2025 của Việt Nam sẽ bị chậm lại.
Dự báo vụ hồ tiêu năm 2025 sẽ thu hoạch gần như toàn bộ vào tháng 2, nhiều vùng kéo dài đến tháng 3 và tháng 4, chậm hơn 1 đến 2 tháng so với những năm trước do ảnh hưởng của hạn hán kéo dài.
*Thông tin mang tính tham khảo. Giá có thể thay đổi tùy theo từng thời điểm, từng địa phương.
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